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waking up the odds

Tonight's launches.

Each light is a token launched on Pons in the last 90 minutes. White: under 20 minutes. Green: it found buyers. Red and sinking: nobody bought it.

About 900 an hour.

That's the launch rate on this chain right now. The green ones orbit. The rest fall.

One question, six times a day.

Still alive at the next verdict, or dead? Pick a side on any token. Put USDG on it. A verdict every 4 hours, on the clock.

On the hour, every 4 hours.

00:00, 04:00, 08:00, 12:00, 16:00, 20:00 UTC. The contract reads the pool and pays whoever was right. Nobody in between. Then the next round opens.

000born, last 90 min
000went out
000still trading
00%of those judged
until the next verdict

Reading the chain.

scroll
waiting for the next launch

Play.

Two games on real launches. No wallet, points stay in your browser.

Death watch. Who dies first?

Three tokens, 12 to 19 minutes old. At 20 minutes the chain judges them. Pick the one that goes out. 3 points if only yours dies, 1 if others die too, 0 if it lives.

0points0rounds0best streak
--:--
waiting for candidates…

Which one died?

Three tokens from the last hour, already judged. Name, age, quote. Which one died?

0right0played0streak
Loading the last hour…

The markets.

Deposit USDG in the vault once. Put it on dead or alive. Claim after the verdict. A new round every 4 hours, everything on chain.

$CASHCATbets close in —
dead 31%alive 69%
pot 210 USDGpool now 100% of reference
$FLYBRAINverdict at —
dead 90%alive 10%

The last 90 minutes on Pons.

Read from the chain's logs. We watch the 400 newest launches. A token gets 20 minutes: if its curve still holds what it started with, nobody bought, and its light goes out.

Next verdict--:--Waiting for the chain.
000watched right now
000went out
000still trading
000not judged yet
00000000latest block
The list, with explorer links
TokenBornIn the curve, and its graduation goalVerdictCreatorCurve
Reading the chain…

On this page "went out" means the curve holds no more than it started with after twenty minutes. In the contract the rule is stricter, it's written further down. Creator addresses are public on the chain, we just show them.

The big names on the chain.

Robinhood Chain puts tokenized stocks and memecoins in the same book. Liquidity and price from DexScreener, refreshed every 3 minutes. Paste any token below to see where its line sits.

We show what it has in the pool right now. At the verdict, under 20% of that means dead.

A round, sped up. Names come from tonight's real launches.

How it works.

1

Post it

Paste an address. The poster records the pool's quote reserves at that second. One poster per token per round, anyone can open it.

2

Pick a side

Dead or alive, in USDG, from 1 USDG, until 15 minutes before the verdict. Both piles sit in the vault and you can see them grow.

3

Verdict

Anyone can hit settle. The contract reads the pool. Under 20% of the reference, it's dead. The losing pile goes to the winners, split by stake, minus 3%.

Settlement

Every 4 hours, on the clock. Betting closes 15 minutes before so nobody front-runs it. A poster opened under 30 minutes before a verdict goes to the next one.

until the next verdict

Dead rule

Quote reserves in the pool at settlement below 20% of what they were when the poster went up. Read straight from the pool, no price feed. Uniswap v4 pools are read through StateView.

Bet size

1 USDG minimum. No maximum, no leverage, no house side.

Payout

Winners get their stake back plus the losing pile, split by stake. If one side is empty everyone just gets their money back.

Fee

3% of the losing pile. 2% buys $ODDX on the open market and burns it, 1% goes to the seed pot that puts 25 USDG on both sides of young posters. Nothing goes to a team wallet.

Opening a poster

1 USDG, sent to the burner. Free if you hold 1,000,000 $ODDX.

What the team can do

Nothing. No owner on the token, no admin anywhere, no pause button, no oracle, no team cut. Opening, settling, claiming and the buy-back are all public functions anyone can call. If we vanish tomorrow, the verdicts keep happening.

Code

Vault, markets, seed pot and burner are four small contracts with tests. Addresses below the day they're live.

// The verdict, as it sits in OddxMarkets.sol
function isDead(uint256 id) public view returns (bool) {
    Poster storage p = posters[id];
    uint256 nowReading = readProbe(p.probe, p.target, p.quote, p.poolId);
    return nowReading * 5 < p.refReading;   // below 20% of the opening reading
}

Addresses.

Every address this site uses, with explorer links. Not on this page, not ours.

$ODDX token

Not deployed. When it is, the address shows up here before it shows up anywhere else.

Markets contract

Not deployed. Will hold the posters, the two piles, and the settle button.

Vault

Not deployed. Where every USDG sits, only you can pull yours out.

Burn ledger

Empty. Every $ODDX sent to the dead address will be listed here, read from the token's logs. Anyone can trigger a burn, there is no keeper to wait for.

Data sources on this page

Pons factory 0x7ed598bcef8bd9edd8c97a195c6d13f40801ec7e
USDG 0x5fc5360d0400a0fd4f2af552add042d716f1d168
Uniswap v4 StateView 0xf3334192d15450cdd385c8b70e03f9a6bd9e673b
Logs from rpc.mainnet.chain.robinhood.com, calls from robinhood-rpc.publicnode.com, prices from api.dexscreener.com

Why it exists

3% of every losing pile. 2% buys $ODDX and burns it, 1% keeps the list going. That's the business model, all of it. No roadmap, no phase two, no slide with a CEX logo on it. Not financial advice.